OPINION: As the ‘moment of truth’ arrives our Brexit future is still uncertain

OPINION: As the 'moment of truth' arrives our Brexit future is still uncertain
Photo: AFP
writes Sue Wilson from Bremain in Spain

On Sunday evening, the last trade deal deadline passed without progress, leaving us none the wiser as to whether the UK will leave the EU with a deal in just a few days time.

Although I understood the attraction of Boris Johnson’s “Get Brexit Done” catchphrase – particularly to Leave voters – it never appealed to me personally. Had the prime minister come up with a “get a deal done” catchphrase, I might have been converted!

Let me be clear (to use a phrase nicked from a former PM): I’m not saying that I’ve become a Brexit fan; just that the Brexit negotiations have been interminable! Deadlines have come and gone. When the chances of a deal were described as “very, very difficult”, our patience wore very, very thin.

How many ways can politicians, or the media, say it’s the 11th hour in the talks? In case you missed any of them, a few of my personal favourites are: last chance saloon, on a knife edge, moment of truth and end of the road.

Following the latest round of talks, Chief Negotiator, Michel Barnier, said the EU remained committed to achieving “a fair, reciprocal and balanced agreement”, and that talks with the UK’s chief negotiator, Lord Frost, had reached a “crucial moment”. 

In response, the UK accused the EU of making “unreasonable demands” and stated that a “substantial shift” was required in the EU’s position. Whitehall sources said no-deal was increasingly likely. If that sounds familiar, it’s because we’ve been here several times before. Unsurprisingly, it’s still about fish and the level playing field.

Despite the final, final, final deadline having passed, the talks are continuing still. Sunday’s deadline, set by the EU, offered the last opportunity for the European parliament to ratify any agreement before the transition period ends. While talks are continuing, a last-minute deal is possible, but it’s unclear what it would entail. Until any deal can be ratified, there could be contingency plans implemented, or a brief period of no-deal, and the accompanying chaos.

As if Brexit problems aren’t enough, a new strain of Covid – thought to originate in Kent – has thrown the UK’s plans into disarray. The new strain, which has been around since September and on the government’s radar since October, apparently spreads more rapidly.

Thankfully, it’s no more lethal than the original strain, and there’s no reason to expect it wouldn’t respond to the vaccine. However, it has caused widespread concern across Europe.

As a precaution against the new strain, over 40 countries have closed their borders to the UK, including Spain. France has gone further by closing the Eurotunnel and preventing the movement of freight. Apparently, EU countries do have the freedom to control their own borders after all! Who knew?

Over recent days, long queues of lorries had already formed on the approach to the port of Dover. Many companies followed government advice to stockpile goods from the EU before the transition period ends.

With Christmas demand also increasing traffic, hold-ups were to be expected. Where will those lorries go now that they are unable to leave the country? The infamous Kent lorry park – nicknamed the “Farage Garage” – won’t be ready until February.

Despite the emergency restrictions, companies can still ferry goods to the UK, but how many will want to risk their personnel and trucks being stuck there over Christmas?

Under these circumstances, there have been increased demands for an extension to the transition period, including from Nicola Sturgeon, First Minister of Scotland.

In a tweet on Sunday evening, she said: 

It’s now imperative that PM seeks an agreement to extend the Brexit transition period. The new Covid strain – & the various implications of it – means we face a profoundly serious situation, & it demands our 100% attention. It would be unconscionable to compound it with Brexit.

— Nicola Sturgeon (@NicolaSturgeon) December 20, 2020

I’ve always, (well, nearly always), believed there would be a deal. Even at this late hour, I still do, though I’m not expecting it to be a good one – just better than the alternative. But deal or no deal, now is the wrong time for posturing, grandstanding or endless bloody nonsense about fish!

The Prime Minister needs to get a grip on the virus and put public health above public opinion. We’ve waited a long time for news of a deal. We can tolerate Groundhog Day for a little longer if it means lives can be saved.

By Sue Wilson – Chair of Bremain in Spain

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