Five important things to know about the Spanish election

The Local/AFP
The Local/AFP - [email protected] • 25 Apr, 2019 Updated Thu 25 Apr 2019 09:36 CEST
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The third general election in less than four years, emergence of the far-right, Catalan crisis... Here are five important points to bear in mind as we head towards election day on Sunday.


1 Risk of chronic instability

It's the third time since December 2015 that Spaniards go to the polls.

And the risk of political gridlock remains just as strong.   

Polls estimate that outgoing Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez will win but his Socialist Party won't get a majority.

He would likely have to seek the support of far-left party Podemos, which polls say is losing ground, and regional groupings including -- possibly -- Catalan pro-independence lawmakers in the national parliament. 

Opinion polls believe a majority formed by the conservative Popular Party (PP), centre-right Ciudadanos and far-right party Vox is unlikely.   


The instability that now governs Spanish politics harkens back to the 2015 elections that marked the end of a two-party system with the eruption of Podemos and Ciudadanos.

The result was political gridlock.   

New elections were held in June 2016, with PP leader Mariano Rajoy finally taking power in October at the head of a minority government.

2. Outgoing PM never elected

After leading the socialists to one of their worst ever results in the last  elections, Sanchez took power in June last year by ousting Rajoy with a  no-confidence vote backed by Podemos, Catalan separatists and Basque 
nationalist lawmakers.

3. Emergence of far right

Since the death of dictator Francisco Franco in 1975, Spain had been one of the few European countries with no far-right party to speak of.   

That is likely to change drastically after Sunday's elections.   

The far-right party Vox, with its ultra-nationalist rhetoric, could make a dramatic entrance in the national parliament.

Among its candidates are retired generals who defend Franco's far-right regime.

Practically non-existent in opinion polls a year ago, Vox leapt onto the scene in December regional elections in Andalusia, taking nearly 11 percent of the vote.   

Its support was key to helping the PP and Ciudadanos take power in the southern region that had traditionally been a socialist bastion.

4. Catalonia

A year-and-a-half after a failed independence bid in the northeastern region of Catalonia shook Spain and Europe, the issue remains at the heart of Spanish politics.

In February, days after the start of a highly-anticipated trial of Catalan leaders over a 2017 secession attempt, pro-independence lawmakers forced Sanchez into calling early elections by refusing to back his 2019 budget.

Sanchez, who would rather not have to rely on them to form a majority if he wins, has reiterated his opposition to any independence referendum but has promised the region more autonomy.

The PP, Ciudadanos and Vox, which accuse Sanchez of "treason" for having attempted to negotiate with separatists, have repeatedly attacked him and Catalan pro-independence parties during their campaigns.

5. Economy

After suffering a severe recession and several years of austerity, Spain staged a strong economic recovery with three consecutive years of growth above three percent between 2015 and 2017.

This growth has slowed however, to 2.6 percent in 2018 and an expected 2.2 percent this year.

At 14.7 percent, unemployment is the second highest in Europe after Greece.   It remains Spaniards' main concern.

READ MORE: Follow our election coverage 



The Local/AFP 2019/04/25 09:36

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