Spain won’t win World Cup: Goldman Sachs

Investment banking giant Goldman Sachs has crunched all the numbers to find out who will win this year's World Cup in Brazil — and it won't be Spain.

Spain won't win World Cup: Goldman Sachs
Spain's national football coach Vicente del Bosque at a press conference in Madrid on Sunday. Photo: Cesar Manso/AFP

Using statistics stretching back to 1960, the New York-based bank are predicting Spain's attempt to win back-to-back World Cup trophies will end with a semi-final loss to Argentina.

In fact, Spain have only a 9.8 percent chance of lifting the Fifa silverware, the bank says.  

That puts La Roja — as the Spanish football team is called — just behind Germany (with an 11.4 percent chance) and Argentina, who have a 14.1 percent chance.

Miles ahead, though, are home team Brazil, who have been given a 48.5 percent possibility of being crowned world champions.

But before Spain fans get too disheartened, Goldman Sachs also predicted Brazil to win the 2010 world cup in South Africa.

The bank also points out their prediction is based only on previous track record. It doesn't factor in the quality or potential of current players and is "purely statistical". 

This may be small comfort for England fans, who might want to give up now: the Three Lions have been given only a 1.4 percent chance of winning a second world cup.    

Even they have better odds than Cameroon, Japan and Algeria, all of whom have exactly zero chance of celebrating in Rio de Janeiro after the July 13th final.    

For those who are interested, Goldman Sachs have also released their own World Cup dream team:

Image: Goldman Sachs

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Spain proposes 2030 World Cup bid shared with Morocco and Portugal

Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez said on Monday that he had pitched the idea of a joint bid between his country, Portugal and Morocco to host the 2030 World Cup.

Spain proposes 2030 World Cup bid shared with Morocco and Portugal
Spain won the world cup in 2010. Photo: AFP

“I made the proposal, firstly to the government then to King Mohammed VI to launch a shared application with Morocco, Portugal and Spain to host the 2030 World Cup,” Sanchez said in Rabat after a meeting with the monarch.   

“It will be the first two-continent application, with Europe and Africa, and King Mohammed VI welcomed the proposal warmly.”   

Earlier this year the King ordered the Royal Moroccan Football Federation to launch their own World Cup bid but the office of the Moroccan prime minister, Saad Eddine el Othmani, refused to comment on Sanchez's statement when contacted by AFP.

The north African country has failed five times to bring the tournament to the southern shores of the Mediterranean, with the United States, Canada and Mexico most recently beating them to the 2026 competition.   

Uruguay, Argentina and Paraguay have proposed a bid to coordinate the 2030 event, which will mark 100 years since the first tournament.   

Greece, Bulgaria, Romania and Serbia are also considering a joint bid, as are the United Kingdom and the Republic of Ireland.   

The official bidding process is set to being in 2020.

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